The Edmonton Oilers look to build on their momentum after shutting out the Dallas Stars 3-0 in Game Two, as the Western Conference Final series shifts to Rogers Place with the teams tied 1-1.
Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl have powered the Oilers' offense while goaltender Stuart Skinner has stepped up his game, saving 47 of 52 shots faced in the series.
The Stars will need to rediscover their scoring touch after a six-goal outburst in Game One gave way to a disappointing offensive showing in their last outing.
Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars matchup, our predictive model gives the Oilers a 70.67% chance of defeating the Stars.
Pre-game probabilities
Edmonton Oilers
Moneyline
Win %
71%
29%
Dallas Stars
Edmonton Oilers: 70.67% win probability
- Explosive offense (277 goals scored, tied for 3rd in Western Conference)
- Strong recent form (WLWWW, winning 4 of their last 5 games)
- Home ice advantage (historically teams perform 5-10% better at home)
Dallas Stars: 29.33% win probability
- Terrible recent form (LLLLL, lost all of their last 5 games)
- Defensive struggles (224 goals against, more than all top 4 Western teams)
- Road fatigue (as the away team, traveling to Edmonton's hostile environment)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Edmonton Oilers | Dallas Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars preview
The Dallas Stars face a critical road test in Edmonton on Sunday, looking to recapture their offensive magic after being shut out 3-0 in Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals.
The series momentum has swung dramatically as Jake Oettinger, who has struggled allowing six goals on just 52 shots, faces mounting pressure against Connor McDavid and an Oilers squad that appears to have found their defensive identity.
Edmonton's dynamic duo of Leon Draisaitl and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins have already combined for three goals and five assists in the series, while Stars' offensive threats Mikael Granlund and Tyler Seguin will need to overcome Stuart Skinner, who's stopped an impressive 47 of 52 shots faced.
The Rogers Place crowd should provide an electric atmosphere as the Oilers look to leverage home ice after the teams split the first two games in Dallas.
Both squads have demonstrated explosive offensive potential, with Dallas scoring six goals in Game 1 before Edmonton answered with their Game 2 shutout.
Watch for Mikko Rantanen to potentially break through for the Stars after scoring eight goals in the first two playoff rounds but remaining silent thus far in this series.
Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars form
Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars head to head
Edmonton Oilers
50%
Dallas Stars
50%
May 24, 2025
Dallas Stars
0 : 3
Edmonton Oilers
May 22, 2025
Dallas Stars
6 : 3
Edmonton Oilers
Mar 27, 2025
Edmonton Oilers
3 : 4
Dallas Stars
Mar 9, 2025
Edmonton Oilers
5 : 4
Dallas Stars
Oct 19, 2024
Dallas Stars
4 : 1
Edmonton Oilers
Jun 3, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
2 : 1
Dallas Stars
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